Fantasy Forecast: Week Four


Welcome to week four of the NFL Regular Season. Before each game RavensGab will take a look at the various Ravens players poised to make a significant fantasy impact, and provide the strengths and weaknesses associated with each based on current trends and matchups.

Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots
October 4, 2009, 1:05 pm Foxboro, MA
Weather Forecast: Rain Showers, Breezy, 67 Deg.

Joe Flacco, QB (Week 3: 342 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT)

The Browns are terrible. All Joe Flacco needed to do was take care of the ball, move it down the field and hand it off to his backs. Game over. Add another W to the Win Column. And that’s what he did. Oh? Did I forget to mention that he also threw for a career high 342 yards? Yeah, he did that too.

Joe Flacco is averaging almost 300 yards a game and putting up at least 1-2 touchdowns. Granted, the combined record of all week 1 through 3 opponents is 2-7, but still, Bazooka Joe is airing it out early and often. Look out Ravens fans, Baltimore has a Quarterback.

This week however comes with a variety of new challenges for the young Quarterback. He has to go into Foxboro (not an easy place to win), in the rain, against a solid defense (don’t listen to the hype, this Defense is ranked top 5 in the NFL currently), and beat arguably one of the best players in the history of the NFL, oh, and also beat arguably one of the best coaches. The moral of the story is that Joe will do fine, but he’s not going to light up the stats board, but then again neither will Tom Brady.

Prediction: 200 yds, 1 TD, INT

Ray Rice, RB (Week 1: 48 yds Rush, 27 yds Rec, 1 TD)

Ray Rice had a solid outing against the Browns. It wasn’t his best performance, but it was exactly what the Ravens needed, solid. The Ravens gave him a number of opportunities to get his first NFL touchdown, and he finally delivered. It was a great score, and hopefully it will be the first of many. Look for him to have a better red zone showing this weekend against a Rush Defense that is good but not exceptional. This is especially true if Vincent Willfork is sitting.

Prediction: 60 yds Rush, 35 yds Rec, 1 TD

Willis McGahee, RB (Week 1: 67 yds, 2 TD)

Willis McGahee absolutely exploded against the Browns. He didn’t cut them up for a ton of yards, but good lord did he bruise them in the End Zone. The Browns simply couldn’t touch him. Apparently tackling was optional in Cleveland’s game plan. This weekend in Foxboro, Willis should hopefully have a similar outing yardage wise if not touchdown wise. If Willfork is down, then look for Willis to potentially have a monster game.

Prediction: 60 yds, 1 TD

Le’Ron McClain, RB (Week 1: 7 yds Rush, 29 yds Rec, 0 TD)

Le’Ron is a fullback. He gets his carries, and he’s shown better than expected hands on the reception front, but it doesn’t change the fact that his opportunities will be limited.

Do not expect any different against the Pats.

Prediction: 25 yds rush, 20 yds Rec, 0 TD

Todd Heap, TE (Week 1: 41 yds, 0 TD)

Heap had a solid outing last weekend against the Browns. He didn’t find the End Zone but he did have respectable catches for 41 yards. The running game was simply too efficient so he wasn’t needed as badly as he was against the Chargers.

Against the Pats, I have a sneaking suspicion that Heap could factor heavily into the game plan. This is just a hunch, but i trust it.

Prediction: 65 yds, 1 TD

L.J. Smith, TE (Week 1: Inactive)

LJ Smith finally recorded his first reception as a Raven. It wasn’t a flashy play but it was a solid play for 26 yards. LJ may have the occasional big clutch reception, but honestly he’s been an injury risk for so long, that odds are on him being a blocking tight end only, and used sparingly in two tight end sets (which Cam Cameron loves by the way).

Prediction: 20 yds, 0 TD.

Derrick Mason, WR (Week 1: 118 yds, 1 TD)

Mr. Indestructible, who isn’t stoked that he came out of retirement. Mason had an explosive week four fantasy wise (thanks to a 71 yard catch and run for a TD). Mason is a solid contributor any time he’s on the field. You have to account for him or he’ll burn you bad. Against the Pats, look for Mason to have a solid game, but stay in the same relative average for his yardage and touchdown totals.

Prediction: 70 yds, 1 TD

Mark Clayton, WR (Week 1: 35 yds, 0 TD)

Mark Clayton has been Houdini so far this season. Disappearing and reappearing in the offense. He’s a solid WR but his main value right now has been allowing guys like Todd Heap and Kelly Washington to get open. Wait for the first time Washington gets double teamed and I guarantee you’ll see Clayton catch and run for a long gain. I would not be surprised to see this happen against the Pats.

Prediction: 60 yrds, 0 TD

Kelly Washington, WR (Week 1: 66 yds, 0 TD)

Quickly becoming a dependable third slot receiver. Not to mention Bazooka Joe’s go to target. Washington put up good numbers against the Browns with 66 yds of offense. Look for more of the same this week against the Patriots. Don’t be surprised to see him pick up a touchdown along the way.

Prediction: 50 yrds, 1 TD

Steven Hauschka, K (Week 1: 2/2, LG: 36 yds )

Hauschka was solid last weekend against the Browns. Playing the Browns in good weather, is way different then playing the Pats in bad weather. He has yet to face a situation in which the game is on his shoulders. It’ll be worth watching to see if he’s up to the challenge.

Prediction: 3 PATs, 1 FG (35 yds)


The Key to beating the Pats is to keep them off the field on offense. If the Ravens O does this, ou won’t see much point production out of the Ravens D.

This should be a pretty gritty matchup, but the Patriots are a solid team. If you have the Ravens D you must start them of course, but if other temporary options are available, don’t reach for them.

Prediction: MUST START

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One Response to “Fantasy Forecast: Week Four”

  1. […] Fantasy Forecast: Week FourWelcome to week four of the NFL Regular Season. Before each game RavensGab will take a look at the various Ravens players poised to make a significant fantasy impact, and provide the strengths and wea […]

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