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Fantasy Forecast : Week 11


Welcome to week eleven of the NFL Regular Season. Before each game RavensGab will take a look at the various Ravens players poised to make a significant fantasy impact, and provide the strengths and weaknesses associated with each based on current trends and matchups.

Indianapolis Colts at Baltimore Ravens
November 22, 2009, 9:00 pm Cleveland, OH
Weather Forecast: Partly Cloudy/Windy

Joe Flacco, QB (Week 10: 155 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT)

Against a hapless Browns defense, one would have expected Joe Flacco to have a pretty solid day numbers wise. Even with no touchdowns, throwing for 250+ yards would have secured at least ten points in traditional fantasy leagues. That wasn’t the case however, and for the third consecutive week, the Ravens Offense simply has not been able to get anything going. Whether it’s the effects of lingering injuries, the offensive lines’ in ability to give him time, or his receivers not being able to get separation, Flacco has seemingly regressed the last few outings.

Against the Colts this weekend, Flacco is an emergency start only. Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis might just tee off on the Ravens if the TE’s aren’t used to support Michael Oher and Jared Gaither respectively. That doesn’t exactly translate to big offensive production numbers.

Prediction: 180 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

Ray Rice, RB (Week 10: 89 yds Rush, 15 yds Rec, 1 TD)

Week in and week out, Ray Rice is demonstrating why he is to be considered one of the best all around offensive weapons in Fantasy Football. If you were lucky enough to have the foresight to pick him up in your draft or on a clever trade, good on you.

The Ravens will need to control the clock and run the ball to beat the Colts. This translates into a monster amount of touches for Ray Rice. Whether on the ground or through the Air I’d expect a big day out of the mighty might running back.

Prediction: 100 yds Rush, 60 yds Rec, 1 TD

Willis McGahee, RB (Week 10: 35 yds Rush, 0 yds Rec, 0 TD)

One of these days, Cam Cameron is going to have to realize that McGahee is a down hill runner. You give him enough touches to build momentum and he is like a freight train. Hard to bring down. He had 35 yards of total rush against the Browns, but against the Colts, the sheer necessity of running the ball 30-40 times in that game will likely contribute to more touches by McGahee. This is especially true if Cam finally does what we’ve all be screaming for him to do and run the no huddle from moment one.

Prediction: 40 yds Rush, 10 yds Rec, 0 TD

Le’Ron McClain, FB/RB (Week 10: 10 yds Rush, 19 yds Rec, 0 TD)

McClain has come into his own as a solid fullback. Several of the blocks he made for Ray Rice were down right nasty. It clearly shows why Cam and John Harbaugh had the confidence to draft him and give him a roster spot on this team. As a half-back however it remains to be seen week in and week out just how high his fantasy value will be. Against the Browns it was very lows, but as with Willis McGahee he could enjoy an increase in production.

Prediction: 30 yds Rush, 35 Yds Rec, 0 TD)

Todd Heap, TE (Week 10: 43 yds, 0 TD)

Heap had a so/so outing against the Browns. In the weeks to come there is perhaps only one more game in which would could expect a gimmie for players like Heap. Fantasy Football wise its tough to see players like Heap go into a game with massive potential only to fall short due to bad quarterback play or bad offensive line play.

This week Heap as listed as Questionable and is going to be a game time decision. Start with Caution.

Prediction: 35 yds, 0 TD

Derrick Mason, WR (Week 10: 78 yds, 0 TD)

It’s hard to make receptions when the following three things happen: 1.) Your Offensive Line has another bad performance, 2.) You’re QB is having a down day, 3.) The corner assigned to you is holding you all day long up and down the field. Sound familiar? With the schedule rapidly increasing in difficulty, this is likely to be the case for Derrick Mason for the rest of the season. He’s always the best options for Wide Recievers on this thin Ravens unit.

Against the Colts it all depends on if Flacco can get him the ball. With the injuries to the secondary, if Flacco has time to make plays happen. Mason could be set to have a big day.

Prediction: 85 yds, 1 TD

Mark Clayton, WR (Week 10: 0 yds, 0 TD)

Clayton couldn’t get separation from and he couldn’t get open. Couple that with the poor play from the QB and the offensive line and its no wonder he was only targeted twice.

The Colts (like the Browns) cannot cover the pass very well outside of about 15 yards. If Clayton can find a way to get separation and stay open, Flacco should reward him handsomely with any number of targets, unlike the two he had all day against the Browns

Prediction: 45 yrds, 0 TD

Kelley Washington, WR (Week 9: 0 yds, 0 TD)

Washington was targeted less than five times, but for an explanation as to why he had zero yards of total offense, see, Clayton, Mark.

Against the Colts, the only way Kelley has a big day is if the Offensive line plays like it did in week’s one through four as opposed to week’s five through ten.

Prediction: 35 yrds, 0 TD

Steven Hauschka, Billy Cundiff K (Week 10: 0 PAT, 0/0 FG (00 yds)

The Steve Hauschka era is officially over in Baltimore. Although he was good kicker with a strong leg, the pressure was simply too much and got to the kid. This week the Ravens turn to Billy Cundiff to get the job done. If you’re thinking about picking up Cundiff off the waiver wire, you could do worse. The kid is likely to be facing a number of field goal situations in his first outing as a Raven.

Prediction: 2 PATs, 3 FG (36/40 yds)

Defense (Week 10: 2 INT, 1 FF, 4 Sack, 1 TD)

The Ravens Defense played very well against the JV squad that is the Cleveland Browns. That being said, a shutout in the NFL is no small feat and the Ravens should be commended on a solid performance. Especially the Secondary.

This week is a whole different story. The Colts feature probably one of the best quarterbacks of all time and an offense that is legendary for its potency. Do not start the Baltimore Ravens defense this week. They may show up to play but the risk/reward is too high. There are better options out there likely still available on the Free Agent market

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